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2020-02-27

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 53.4% 46.6% -
Bradley-Terry 58.0% 42.0% -
Margin 63.0% 37.0% -2.9 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% -
Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.8% 53.2% -
Log Adjusted 46.9% 53.1% -
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +6 (107-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elfrid Payton * 27 3-8 0-2 0-0 2 9 1 0 6 - -
Julius Randle * 25 7-14 1-1 3-4 9 3 0 2 18 - -
Maurice Harkless * 24 1-1 0-0 3-4 4 2 1 0 5 - -
RJ Barrett * 21 2-11 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Taj Gibson * 18 5-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 10 - -
Mitchell Robinson 29 5-7 0-0 2-5 16 2 1 3 12 - -
Kevin Knox II 23 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Bobby Portis 22 8-11 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 17 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 20 4-12 0-2 1-2 0 3 0 0 9 - -
Allonzo Trier 16 6-8 1-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 15 - -
Reggie Bullock 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Washington * 36 5-14 2-7 0-0 5 3 2 0 12 - -
Terry Rozier * 35 7-15 4-7 8-8 3 4 1 0 26 - -
Devonte' Graham * 34 7-18 2-9 5-6 1 5 1 0 21 - -
Miles Bridges * 27 4-12 1-3 1-2 3 2 0 0 10 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 27 5-6 0-0 2-4 5 4 1 4 12 - -
Cody Martin 24 4-8 0-1 1-2 9 2 0 0 9 - -
Jalen McDaniels 22 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 0 5 - -
Willy Hernangomez 19 3-3 0-0 1-1 3 4 1 0 7 - -
Caleb Martin 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter