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2020-02-25

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 31.0% 69.0% -
Bradley-Terry 29.3% 70.7% -
Margin 28.4% 71.6% +5.1 (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.2% 60.8% -
Efficiency 17.3% 82.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% -
Log Adjusted 26.3% 73.7% -
Points Off/Def 29.8% 70.2% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +9 (118-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 38 5-19 1-5 0-0 5 9 2 0 11 - -
Brandon Ingram * 36 12-20 3-9 7-8 7 4 2 0 34 - -
Zion Williamson * 32 8-18 0-0 13-19 6 3 1 0 29 - -
Lonzo Ball * 30 4-11 2-6 0-0 8 8 0 0 10 - -
Derrick Favors * 23 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 8 - -
Nicolo Melli 27 5-8 1-3 0-0 6 2 0 1 11 - -
Josh Hart 21 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 1 3 0 3 - -
JJ Redick 19 0-0 0-0 3-3 5 4 0 0 3 - -
E'Twaun Moore 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Jahlil Okafor 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 35 6-21 0-3 9-10 14 3 1 6 21 - -
LeBron James * 34 17-27 5-11 1-2 8 6 0 1 40 - -
Danny Green * 31 6-10 5-9 0-0 5 4 2 1 17 - -
Avery Bradley * 21 0-8 0-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 - -
JaVale McGee * 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 0 2 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 29 6-11 3-7 0-2 1 1 2 0 15 - -
Dwight Howard 18 1-1 0-0 0-1 4 2 0 2 2 - -
Alex Caruso 17 3-5 0-1 2-3 3 8 2 1 8 - -
Markieff Morris 14 1-3 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 1 4 - -
Kyle Kuzma 12 4-10 0-3 1-1 1 0 1 0 9 - -
Rajon Rondo 11 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -

* = starter