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2020-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 15.7% 84.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% - ✓
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 ✓ (24.5 off)
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% - ✓
Efficiency 19.7% 80.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 24.3% 75.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 24.3% 75.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 27.9% 72.1% - ✓

Actual: LA Clippers +27 (124-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 27 7-13 0-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 16 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 25 2-10 0-2 1-2 7 2 0 0 5 - -
Dillon Brooks * 24 1-7 0-3 2-3 2 5 1 0 4 - -
Kyle Anderson * 21 3-8 0-2 0-0 8 2 2 0 6 - -
Brandon Clarke * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Gorgui Dieng 28 5-10 2-4 2-2 10 0 1 4 14 - -
Josh Jackson 25 4-12 2-5 4-6 5 1 0 2 14 - -
De'Anthony Melton 18 2-6 0-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Tyus Jones 17 4-7 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 8 - -
John Konchar 17 4-4 0-0 0-1 7 4 0 1 8 - -
Jordan Bell 15 1-4 1-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 5 - -
Marko Guduric 6 3-5 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Dusty Hannahs 6 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 24 10-17 0-4 5-5 8 3 2 0 25 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 24 5-11 2-5 1-2 1 2 1 1 13 - -
Paul George * 21 3-11 1-5 0-0 4 4 0 1 7 - -
Ivica Zubac * 20 3-8 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 0 6 - -
Patrick Beverley * 19 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 6 - -
Landry Shamet 23 3-5 3-5 4-5 3 4 1 0 13 - -
Reggie Jackson 22 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 6 1 0 5 - -
JaMychal Green 22 5-9 3-6 0-0 9 1 1 1 13 - -
Lou Williams 21 3-7 2-3 0-0 4 6 0 0 8 - -
Montrezl Harrell 19 9-11 0-0 4-5 3 0 0 2 22 - -
Amir Coffey 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Patrick Patterson 6 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 6 - -
Rodney McGruder 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter