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2020-02-24

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 37.3% 62.7% -
Bradley-Terry 49.5% 50.5% -
Margin 49.2% 50.8% +0.2 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 33.4% 66.6% -
Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.0% 83.0% -
Log Adjusted 17.0% 83.0% -
Points Off/Def 22.4% 77.6% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +11 (123-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 33 8-17 2-5 3-7 6 3 1 0 21 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. * 29 5-12 1-2 4-5 7 5 7 0 15 - -
Maurice Harkless * 28 3-6 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 2 7 - -
Julius Randle * 27 5-14 0-2 7-8 12 3 1 0 17 - -
Taj Gibson * 12 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 6 - -
Mitchell Robinson 25 4-5 0-0 2-4 8 2 2 5 10 - -
Bobby Portis 24 4-10 0-3 4-4 8 2 0 0 12 - -
Reggie Bullock Jr. 21 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 1 3 - -
Damyean Dotson 17 3-7 3-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Kevin Knox II 12 1-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Allonzo Trier 6 3-4 2-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 9 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 33 14-25 4-11 5-9 6 9 2 0 37 - -
Robert Covington * 30 4-10 3-8 0-0 7 1 1 4 11 - -
Eric Gordon * 28 4-13 1-7 7-7 0 2 2 0 16 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 25 3-6 0-2 4-5 5 4 1 1 10 - -
P.J. Tucker * 24 1-3 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 1 2 - -
Ben McLemore 29 6-11 4-9 1-2 3 0 0 0 17 - -
Austin Rivers 24 5-8 2-3 2-3 1 1 0 0 14 - -
Jeff Green 16 3-3 1-1 2-2 2 1 2 1 9 - -
DeMarre Carroll 14 3-5 1-3 0-3 4 0 1 0 7 - -
Thabo Sefolosha 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -
Bruno Caboclo 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter