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2020-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 62.1% 37.9% -
Bradley-Terry 69.3% 30.7% -
Margin 79.2% 20.8% -7.3 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 61.0% 39.0% -
Efficiency 88.6% 11.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.0% 15.0% -
Log Adjusted 85.0% 15.0% -
Points Off/Def 75.2% 24.8% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -3 (134-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 40 15-28 2-8 8-8 5 5 3 0 40 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 33 7-11 4-6 5-6 7 10 0 0 23 - -
Robin Lopez * 32 4-5 3-4 0-0 1 1 1 3 11 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 24 8-12 0-0 6-8 14 2 0 1 22 - -
Wesley Matthews * 23 3-6 3-5 1-3 0 2 1 0 10 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 28 4-5 2-3 2-2 10 2 0 0 12 - -
George Hill 23 6-12 2-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 14 - -
Marvin Williams 22 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Pat Connaughton 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 - -
Sterling Brown 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rui Hachimura * 46 4-12 1-2 3-4 4 2 1 0 12 - -
Bradley Beal * 41 19-33 8-13 9-10 2 3 0 0 55 - -
Ish Smith * 25 5-11 2-3 1-1 2 7 2 0 13 - -
Isaac Bonga * 24 0-2 0-1 0-0 9 0 1 0 0 - -
Ian Mahinmi * 24 4-6 0-2 2-5 5 1 1 0 10 - -
Shabazz Napier 36 10-17 3-7 4-5 4 7 2 0 27 - -
Moritz Wagner 28 1-3 0-0 6-8 10 5 0 0 8 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 21 2-9 0-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 - -
Jerome Robinson 17 2-5 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 - -

* = starter