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2020-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 52.9% 47.1% -
Bradley-Terry 39.9% 60.1% -
Margin 43.0% 57.0% +1.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% -
Efficiency 38.3% 61.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.5% 64.5% -
Log Adjusted 35.5% 64.5% -
Points Off/Def 36.5% 63.5% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +3 (107-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Rose * 27 6-16 1-4 2-2 2 3 0 0 15 - -
Tony Snell * 24 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 - -
Sekou Doumbouya * 24 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 7 - -
Thon Maker * 16 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 1 4 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk * 15 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Bruce Brown 33 3-10 0-1 2-2 10 1 1 0 8 - -
Christian Wood 30 9-15 2-4 6-7 9 1 0 2 26 - -
Langston Galloway 24 4-9 2-5 3-3 4 4 1 0 13 - -
John Henson 23 3-6 0-1 2-2 7 2 2 2 8 - -
Brandon Knight 20 4-8 3-7 4-4 2 3 0 0 15 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 43 15-30 6-11 5-8 9 12 1 0 41 - -
Hassan Whiteside * 38 8-14 0-0 0-3 17 3 0 4 16 - -
Carmelo Anthony * 37 11-16 5-9 5-6 4 1 0 0 32 - -
Trevor Ariza * 36 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 2 0 2 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 34 3-8 0-2 0-0 2 2 3 1 6 - -
Anfernee Simons 18 2-8 2-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Mario Hezonja 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Nassir Little 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter