Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | +4.6 | ✓ (23.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +28 (131-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 23 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 20 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 20 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 18 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 27 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 17 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 15 | 2-10 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 15 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 13 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 8 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 31 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 27 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 27 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 25 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 24 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 28 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 22 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 16 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 4 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Deonte Burton | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter