Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +12 (128-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Beasley * | 34 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez * | 26 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid * | 21 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 29 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 27 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 25 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 15 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 8-14 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 30 | 11-14 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris * | 30 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap * | 25 | 9-11 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris | 31 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant | 19 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Noah Vonleh | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jordan McRae | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter