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2020-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 72.7% 27.3% -
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% -
Margin 63.4% 36.6% -3.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 41.8% 58.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% -
Log Adjusted 46.1% 53.9% -
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +2 (114-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 39 5-15 0-5 0-0 8 9 0 0 10 - -
Jaylen Brown * 38 8-19 3-9 1-2 6 2 2 1 20 - -
Jayson Tatum * 36 12-20 4-7 13-15 5 2 1 2 41 - -
Marcus Smart * 35 4-11 3-7 3-4 7 3 2 0 14 - -
Daniel Theis * 31 6-7 2-2 2-3 9 0 0 0 16 - -
Brad Wanamaker 18 0-4 0-1 2-2 3 3 1 0 2 - -
Romeo Langford 15 2-5 1-2 0-2 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Grant Williams 13 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Semi Ojeleye 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Enes Kanter 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Vincent Poirier 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 39 10-25 3-5 9-12 13 3 0 2 32 - -
LeBron James * 35 9-19 4-10 7-12 8 9 0 0 29 - -
Avery Bradley * 29 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 - -
Danny Green * 22 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
JaVale McGee * 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 4 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 28 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 7 - -
Kyle Kuzma 27 6-13 1-5 3-4 4 0 0 1 16 - -
Rajon Rondo 22 1-2 0-1 2-4 1 5 5 0 4 - -
Dwight Howard 15 3-5 0-0 4-5 7 0 0 1 10 - -
Alex Caruso 8 3-6 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 6 - -

* = starter