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2020-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 52.6% 47.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% - ✓
Margin 31.6% 68.4% +4.3 ✓ (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% - ✓
Efficiency 17.5% 82.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 22.4% 77.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 22.4% 77.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 26.7% 73.3% - ✓

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +21 (119-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 30 3-10 0-2 5-5 5 1 1 0 11 - -
Joel Embiid * 29 5-17 1-2 6-7 11 4 1 1 17 - -
Josh Richardson * 26 4-10 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 9 - -
Glenn Robinson III * 19 3-8 0-3 0-0 2 2 4 0 6 - -
Ben Simmons * 4 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 1 5 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 25 7-14 3-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 17 - -
Al Horford 24 1-7 1-6 0-0 7 2 0 0 3 - -
Alec Burks 21 3-13 1-5 1-2 4 1 2 0 8 - -
Shake Milton 21 5-9 5-7 2-2 0 2 0 0 17 - -
Mike Scott 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Matisse Thybulle 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Norvel Pelle 6 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 - -
Raul Neto 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 30 10-15 2-6 3-3 9 2 0 0 25 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 29 12-17 2-5 5-8 17 8 0 1 31 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 27 5-11 2-5 0-0 4 8 0 0 12 - -
Brook Lopez * 24 4-10 1-5 0-0 7 5 0 0 9 - -
Wesley Matthews * 20 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 6 - -
George Hill 20 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 19 2-8 1-5 1-2 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Pat Connaughton 19 3-4 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 1 7 - -
Marvin Williams 19 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 2 2 1 5 - -
Robin Lopez 18 5-8 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 1 12 - -
Sterling Brown 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 - -
D.J. Wilson 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter