Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | β |
| Margin | 58.0% | 42.0% | -1.8 | β (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | β |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +4 (111-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Curry * | 38 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 35 | 11-22 | 6-14 | 5-7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 29 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 26 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Courtney Lee | 21 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| J.J. Barea | 19 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Boban MarjanoviΔ | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 40 | 10-21 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish * | 39 | 6-16 | 0-6 | 8-9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 38 | 1-11 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 37 | 13-18 | 3-3 | 6-9 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 35 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Treveon Graham | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jeff Teague | 13 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Vince Carter | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 7 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter