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2020-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 36.1% 63.9% -
Bradley-Terry 41.2% 58.8% -
Margin 46.6% 53.4% +0.7 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -
Efficiency 16.7% 83.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.1% 78.9% -
Log Adjusted 21.2% 78.8% -
Points Off/Def 25.9% 74.1% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +12 (117-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 30 5-14 0-0 7-10 1 3 0 0 17 - -
Dillon Brooks * 26 3-14 1-3 0-3 2 2 1 0 7 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 24 4-11 0-0 0-1 11 0 2 0 8 - -
Kyle Anderson * 22 3-5 1-2 0-0 6 3 1 0 7 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 16 1-3 0-1 5-8 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Brandon Clarke 32 7-11 0-1 0-1 10 4 1 1 14 - -
De'Anthony Melton 23 1-8 0-2 1-2 1 4 0 0 3 - -
Josh Jackson 22 9-12 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 20 - -
Gorgui Dieng 20 6-6 1-1 1-1 10 0 2 0 14 - -
Tyus Jones 17 3-8 0-1 2-5 1 5 1 0 8 - -
Marko Guduric 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 35 10-17 1-4 11-12 3 7 0 2 32 - -
Anthony Davis * 30 8-17 2-4 10-15 13 4 1 7 28 - -
Avery Bradley * 29 6-10 2-4 0-0 5 1 3 1 14 - -
Danny Green * 25 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 3 3 2 3 - -
JaVale McGee * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 24 4-12 1-6 3-5 5 1 1 0 12 - -
Kyle Kuzma 23 4-13 0-4 0-2 4 3 0 0 8 - -
Alex Caruso 23 3-5 1-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 9 - -
Rajon Rondo 16 2-4 1-2 0-2 2 5 0 0 5 - -
Dwight Howard 15 2-3 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 1 4 - -
Jared Dudley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter