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2020-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 43.2% 56.8% -
Bradley-Terry 52.9% 47.1% -
Margin 61.3% 38.7% -2.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% -
Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% -
Log Adjusted 45.7% 54.3% -
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +4 (129-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 32 6-12 4-9 0-0 2 2 0 0 16 - -
Dillon Brooks * 30 4-14 0-6 1-2 4 2 0 1 9 - -
Ja Morant * 30 7-12 0-1 5-7 1 2 0 0 19 - -
Kyle Anderson * 22 4-6 1-2 3-4 5 2 2 0 12 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 20 3-6 0-0 2-2 11 1 0 0 8 - -
Brandon Clarke 24 4-7 0-1 0-0 11 1 0 2 8 - -
De'Anthony Melton 23 5-10 4-5 10-10 6 3 1 1 24 - -
Tyus Jones 18 6-7 2-2 2-2 3 6 0 0 16 - -
Josh Jackson 17 3-6 1-2 4-5 5 4 1 1 11 - -
Gorgui Dieng 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Marko Guduric 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 37 11-17 7-11 3-4 1 1 1 0 32 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 33 9-16 4-6 4-8 2 4 1 0 26 - -
Nemanja Bjelica * 32 3-7 2-5 0-2 6 5 1 0 8 - -
Harry Giles III * 25 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 3 0 2 3 - -
Bogdan Bogdanović * 24 3-8 0-4 3-3 1 3 1 0 9 - -
Buddy Hield 26 5-12 2-6 8-8 3 4 3 0 20 - -
Kent Bazemore 22 6-10 2-3 4-5 3 0 1 0 18 - -
Cory Joseph 22 3-4 2-3 1-2 4 0 1 0 9 - -
Jabari Parker 14 1-6 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 4 - -
Justin James 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter