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2020-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Miami Heat Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 38.5% 61.5% -
Bradley-Terry 50.4% 49.6% -
Margin 53.5% 46.5% -0.8 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 63.8% 36.2% -
Efficiency 84.5% 15.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.7% 21.3% -
Log Adjusted 78.7% 21.3% -
Points Off/Def 68.0% 32.0% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +0 (2-2). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Heat

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jimmy Butler * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jae Crowder * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Bam Adebayo * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Duncan Robinson * 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kendrick Nunn * 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
John Collins * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dewayne Dedmon * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Huerter * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Trae Young * 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter