Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -5 (118-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 34 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 32 | 12-18 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 27 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schröder | 29 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 15 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 9 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 37 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Lonzo Ball * | 34 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 31 | 11-19 | 0-1 | 10-13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 31 | 8-19 | 4-11 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 24 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| E'Twaun Moore | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter