Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +19 (130-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 30 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanović * | 23 | 2-11 | 1-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 21 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 31 | 8-21 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 27 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Anthony Tolliver | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Yogi Ferrell | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| DaQuan Jeffries | 5 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Justin James | 2 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 33 | 7-14 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 32 | 11-16 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 27 | - | - | |
| Luka Dončić * | 31 | 10-18 | 3-7 | 10-12 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 34 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 26 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 18 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanović | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter