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2020-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% - βœ“
Margin 36.0% 64.0% +3.2 βœ“ (18.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% - βœ“
Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 47.0% 53.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 47.1% 52.9% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% - βœ“

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +22 (127-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 37 8-17 2-7 9-11 3 12 2 0 27 27 -
De'Andre Hunter * 35 4-13 3-8 1-2 8 3 2 0 12 12 -
John Collins * 34 9-12 1-2 4-4 4 3 1 1 23 20 -
Kevin Huerter * 30 4-12 3-7 0-0 1 2 1 0 11 3 -
Dewayne Dedmon * 17 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 1 3 3 7 13 -
Cam Reddish 26 4-11 2-4 6-8 4 2 1 0 16 12 -
Brandon Goodwin 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 1 -
Damian Jones 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 4 6 -
Bruno Fernando 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 5 -
Jeff Teague 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Vince Carter 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -
Treveon Graham 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Larry Nance Jr. * 34 8-11 2-5 5-5 12 2 3 2 23 31 -
Cedi Osman * 32 1-10 1-7 0-0 6 2 0 1 3 2 -
Collin Sexton * 32 7-17 1-4 8-9 2 6 1 0 23 15 -
Darius Garland * 31 5-12 0-2 2-2 0 7 0 1 12 8 -
Andre Drummond * 22 6-10 0-1 2-3 15 1 0 2 14 22 -
Kevin Porter Jr. 32 7-11 2-2 2-2 4 3 1 0 18 15 -
Tristan Thompson 25 11-16 3-3 2-4 11 1 1 0 27 24 -
DantΓ© Exum 18 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 5 9 -
Alfonzo McKinnie 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 1 -
J.P. Macura 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter