Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | +3.2 | β (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | β |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +22 (127-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 37 | 8-17 | 2-7 | 9-11 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 27 | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 35 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - | |
| John Collins * | 34 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 30 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 26 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Damian Jones | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Jeff Teague | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Vince Carter | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Treveon Graham | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Nance Jr. * | 34 | 8-11 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 31 | - | |
| Cedi Osman * | 32 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 32 | 7-17 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 15 | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| Andre Drummond * | 22 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 22 | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 32 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 25 | 11-16 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 24 | - | |
| DantΓ© Exum | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Alfonzo McKinnie | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| J.P. Macura | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter