Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | +4.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -8 (106-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 38 | 9-20 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 26 | 9-12 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 21 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 27 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 27 | 7-13 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 12-18 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 30 | 4-16 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schröder | 31 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 16 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter