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2020-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 69.8% 30.2% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 50.3% 49.7% -0.1 (25.1 off)
Pythagorean 37.8% 62.2% -
Efficiency 15.6% 84.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.5% 78.5% -
Log Adjusted 21.6% 78.4% -
Points Off/Def 26.4% 73.6% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +25 (125-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cheick Diallo * 39 7-9 0-0 1-1 4 3 0 1 15 - -
Devin Booker * 31 2-11 0-4 6-7 4 5 0 0 10 - -
Mikal Bridges * 30 6-10 4-6 2-2 6 3 1 1 18 - -
Ricky Rubio * 24 2-6 2-4 7-8 3 5 1 0 13 - -
Cameron Johnson * 21 3-7 2-4 0-1 0 4 3 0 8 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 26 4-9 0-2 2-3 3 2 0 0 10 - -
Ty Jerome 20 2-10 0-3 5-7 4 2 1 0 9 - -
Jevon Carter 19 5-7 3-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 13 - -
Elie Okobo 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen Lecque 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Tariq Owens 4 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 30 6-16 3-6 2-4 8 9 1 0 17 - -
Anthony Davis * 30 9-17 0-3 7-8 10 5 1 1 25 - -
Danny Green * 25 2-7 1-6 0-0 1 1 1 1 5 - -
Avery Bradley * 22 4-7 3-4 1-2 0 0 1 0 12 - -
JaVale McGee * 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 4 - -
Rajon Rondo 26 9-13 4-5 1-2 4 6 1 0 23 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 24 4-7 1-2 4-4 1 2 2 0 13 - -
Dwight Howard 24 6-6 0-0 2-4 15 0 0 0 14 - -
Kyle Kuzma 20 4-5 1-2 0-1 8 4 1 2 9 - -
Troy Daniels 4 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Jared Dudley 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Alex Caruso 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Quinn Cook 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter