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2020-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 31.2% 68.8% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% - βœ“
Margin 19.2% 80.8% +7.9 βœ“ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.5% 65.5% - βœ“
Efficiency 8.0% 92.0% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.8% 86.2% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 13.8% 86.2% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 20.2% 79.8% - βœ“

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +12 (123-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 36 8-13 5-9 2-2 3 3 1 0 23 - -
Bogdan Bogdanović * 34 6-14 2-9 2-2 5 2 0 1 16 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 34 5-19 2-5 5-7 8 11 0 1 17 - -
Nemanja Bjelica * 33 6-14 2-6 2-3 8 2 1 1 16 - -
Harry Giles III * 15 4-6 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 8 - -
Buddy Hield 32 6-12 3-7 0-0 7 1 1 0 15 - -
Cory Joseph 28 4-8 0-2 1-3 6 0 2 1 9 - -
Kent Bazemore 13 2-9 0-2 1-1 4 1 0 1 5 - -
Yogi Ferrell 10 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
DaQuan Jeffries 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 33 9-21 4-8 6-7 11 8 1 0 28 - -
Wesley Matthews * 32 3-9 2-7 2-2 3 2 0 0 10 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 32 10-16 3-4 5-6 8 8 1 0 28 - -
Brook Lopez * 25 7-12 2-4 4-6 2 2 0 3 20 - -
Ersan Ilyasova * 24 3-10 1-4 0-0 8 1 1 1 7 - -
Pat Connaughton 25 3-6 1-3 0-0 9 2 0 0 7 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 25 3-8 2-4 2-2 4 0 2 0 10 - -
Sterling Brown 23 4-8 3-5 0-0 6 2 2 1 11 - -
Kyle Korver 15 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Robin Lopez 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter