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2020-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 12.7% 87.3% -
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% -
Margin 35.1% 64.9% +3.4 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 33.5% 66.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% -
Log Adjusted 40.5% 59.5% -
Points Off/Def 39.0% 61.0% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -11 (76-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devonte' Graham * 35 6-17 1-9 1-2 7 11 2 1 14 - -
P.J. Washington * 35 4-10 0-2 0-0 3 2 3 1 8 - -
Terry Rozier * 35 4-13 1-6 2-2 7 2 0 0 11 - -
Miles Bridges * 32 7-15 2-7 2-2 7 0 1 0 18 - -
Cody Zeller * 22 3-9 0-1 0-0 10 2 0 1 6 - -
Malik Monk 28 5-10 2-4 5-6 3 1 3 0 17 - -
Caleb Martin 19 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -
Jalen McDaniels 16 2-3 2-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 8 - -
Willy Hernangomez 13 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bruce Brown * 38 5-13 0-2 0-0 12 5 0 0 10 - -
Tony Snell * 33 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 4 1 0 3 - -
Reggie Jackson * 28 2-11 2-7 2-2 1 3 0 0 8 - -
Christian Wood * 23 4-9 1-2 1-1 8 1 0 0 10 - -
Thon Maker * 23 5-10 0-3 2-3 12 1 1 2 12 - -
Langston Galloway 23 3-7 1-3 2-2 4 4 1 0 9 - -
Markieff Morris 20 3-11 1-6 3-4 1 3 0 0 10 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 18 2-8 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 - -
John Henson 16 3-4 0-0 1-1 8 0 0 3 7 - -
Brandon Knight 12 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -

* = starter