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2020-02-09

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 47.1% 52.9% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% - βœ“
Margin 53.5% 46.5% -0.8 βœ“ (40.2 off)
Pythagorean 65.4% 34.6% - βœ“
Efficiency 89.1% 10.9% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 83.5% 16.5% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 83.5% 16.5% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 73.2% 26.8% - βœ“

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -41 (92-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Landry Shamet * 27 4-9 3-7 0-0 4 3 0 1 11 - -
Lou Williams * 26 8-14 1-3 8-10 5 3 2 0 25 - -
Paul George * 24 8-12 5-8 1-1 6 4 1 1 22 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 21 5-12 0-4 0-0 4 2 3 0 10 - -
Ivica Zubac * 16 4-4 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 2 8 - -
Amir Coffey 24 5-7 0-2 0-1 4 1 1 1 10 - -
JaMychal Green 24 2-7 1-5 1-2 7 3 0 0 6 - -
Rodney McGruder 22 4-6 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 8 - -
Montrezl Harrell 20 8-10 0-0 3-4 9 3 0 1 19 - -
Terance Mann 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Johnathan Motley 10 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 - -
Mfiondu Kabengele 9 2-6 2-6 2-2 1 0 1 0 8 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 28 7-17 2-3 3-7 14 3 2 1 19 - -
Darius Garland * 28 3-11 0-4 0-0 0 6 1 0 6 - -
Collin Sexton * 27 4-13 1-4 4-4 2 3 1 0 13 - -
Kevin Love * 25 3-8 2-7 2-2 9 2 1 0 10 - -
Cedi Osman * 24 3-8 0-3 1-2 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 27 8-14 1-3 0-1 4 3 1 0 17 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 21 4-9 0-3 1-2 1 0 1 0 9 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 20 1-6 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Tristan Thompson 19 2-6 1-2 2-2 6 2 0 0 7 - -
DantΓ© Exum 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 - -
Malik Newman 3 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Dean Wade 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter