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2020-02-09

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% -
Bradley-Terry 46.4% 53.6% -
Margin 50.0% 50.0% +0.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% -
Efficiency 54.2% 45.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.4% 48.6% -
Log Adjusted 51.4% 48.6% -
Points Off/Def 46.6% 53.4% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +5 (140-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 46 13-25 0-2 9-12 18 3 1 1 35 - -
Reggie Bullock Jr. * 37 8-18 5-10 0-0 4 1 1 0 21 - -
Elfrid Payton * 36 5-14 0-2 2-2 4 9 2 1 12 - -
RJ Barrett * 21 2-6 0-0 1-2 4 3 1 0 5 - -
Taj Gibson * 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Mitchell Robinson 35 7-8 0-0 1-3 11 0 3 3 15 - -
Wayne Ellington 31 5-10 5-9 0-0 1 1 2 0 15 - -
Frank Ntilikina 25 3-8 0-4 3-4 2 8 2 0 9 - -
Bobby Portis 18 5-11 2-4 2-2 6 2 0 0 14 - -
Kevin Knox II 12 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Collins * 49 12-19 1-3 7-9 16 3 0 1 32 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 47 7-15 3-7 2-3 9 1 5 0 19 - -
Kevin Huerter * 47 6-13 2-6 2-2 3 6 0 1 16 - -
Trae Young * 47 13-30 6-13 16-16 1 13 2 0 48 - -
Damian Jones * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 - -
Dewayne Dedmon 32 4-12 1-5 1-1 8 0 0 5 10 - -
Jeff Teague 27 4-8 0-0 0-0 3 6 1 0 8 - -
Bruno Fernando 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Treveon Graham 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Brandon Goodwin 4 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Vince Carter 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter