Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | +0.8 | β (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | β |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +20 (122-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 27 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 27 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 24 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 19 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 38 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 32 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bogdan BogdanoviΔ * | 23 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 31 | 11-17 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 26 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 24 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Yogi Ferrell | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Justin James | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| DaQuan Jeffries | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter