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2020-02-08

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 19.0% 81.0% -
Bradley-Terry 52.5% 47.5% -
Margin 56.1% 43.9% -1.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.4% 59.6% -
Log Adjusted 40.4% 59.6% -
Points Off/Def 38.2% 61.8% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -3 (92-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 34 7-17 1-3 2-3 7 3 1 1 17 - -
Elfrid Payton * 29 4-11 0-1 2-4 9 6 2 1 10 - -
Reggie Bullock Jr. * 27 2-5 2-4 2-2 4 5 1 0 8 - -
RJ Barrett * 21 1-8 0-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Taj Gibson * 13 5-7 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 11 - -
Wayne Ellington 26 6-12 3-7 2-2 5 3 0 0 17 - -
Mitchell Robinson 19 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 3 7 - -
Bobby Portis 18 5-10 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 11 - -
Kevin Knox II 18 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 5 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 18 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Frank Ntilikina 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Wood * 36 6-13 3-7 2-4 11 2 1 2 17 - -
Bruce Brown * 34 3-8 1-3 4-4 3 1 1 2 11 - -
Tony Snell * 34 5-8 2-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 12 - -
Reggie Jackson * 31 7-17 3-7 3-4 2 9 1 0 20 - -
Thon Maker * 28 3-5 1-1 0-2 3 2 0 3 7 - -
Langston Galloway 31 2-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
John Henson 17 6-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 12 - -
Sekou Doumbouya 12 1-3 1-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 5 - -
Jordan Bone 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 - -

* = starter