Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 70.1% | 29.9% | -4.7 | β (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | β |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -16 (100-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 31 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 27 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 27 | 4-11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 26 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 25 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - | |
| Seth Curry | 27 | 10-14 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 23 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Courtney Lee | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Ryan Broekhoff | 15 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - | |
| Boban MarjanoviΔ | 12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - | |
| Antonius Cleveland | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonte' Graham * | 35 | 10-20 | 3-10 | 3-3 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 21 | - | |
| Miles Bridges * | 35 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 31 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 29 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - | |
| Cody Zeller * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - | |
| Malik Monk | 28 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter