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2020-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 25.9% 74.1% -
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% -
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 (30.3 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -
Efficiency 66.9% 33.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% -
Log Adjusted 63.0% 37.0% -
Points Off/Def 55.1% 44.9% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +36 (127-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 30 9-19 5-10 9-10 2 5 1 1 32 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 29 1-7 1-5 0-0 6 3 2 0 3 - -
Robert Covington * 24 4-10 1-7 0-0 5 0 0 0 9 - -
P.J. Tucker * 22 1-6 0-4 0-0 2 1 1 2 2 - -
Eric Gordon * 8 1-5 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 4 - -
Austin Rivers 28 3-10 3-6 5-6 3 0 0 1 14 - -
Ben McLemore 25 5-10 1-5 2-2 1 1 1 0 13 - -
Michael Frazier II 18 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 - -
Chris Clemons 13 1-7 0-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 13 1-4 0-2 1-2 3 2 1 0 3 - -
William Howard 12 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Thabo Sefolosha 11 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 6 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 35 14-19 7-9 4-4 9 0 1 2 39 - -
Mikal Bridges * 31 4-7 2-4 3-3 4 2 4 1 13 - -
Devin Booker * 29 10-18 4-8 9-9 9 3 0 1 33 - -
Deandre Ayton * 23 5-8 0-0 2-2 6 4 0 2 12 - -
Ricky Rubio * 23 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 10 0 0 5 - -
Elie Okobo 26 1-2 1-1 0-0 4 6 3 0 3 - -
Cheick Diallo 24 5-5 0-0 4-4 8 0 0 3 14 - -
Jevon Carter 24 2-8 0-2 4-5 7 2 1 0 8 - -
Cameron Johnson 14 0-6 0-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Ty Jerome 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter