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2020-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 53.3% 46.7% -
Bradley-Terry 32.3% 67.7% -
Margin 33.5% 66.5% +3.8 (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -
Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% -
Log Adjusted 35.7% 64.3% -
Points Off/Def 36.6% 63.4% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -10 (111-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 37 17-28 1-2 6-8 8 5 1 0 41 - -
James Harden * 35 3-10 1-6 7-7 7 7 2 0 14 - -
P.J. Tucker * 31 4-6 3-5 0-0 6 0 0 0 11 - -
Eric Gordon * 29 5-10 5-8 0-0 2 1 0 0 15 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 27 4-8 2-4 3-3 1 3 1 1 13 - -
Robert Covington 29 5-9 4-7 0-0 8 4 2 2 14 - -
Austin Rivers 20 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 8 - -
Ben McLemore 16 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Thabo Sefolosha 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 40 14-21 0-0 4-5 13 3 3 3 32 - -
LeBron James * 36 8-19 1-8 1-1 9 15 2 0 18 - -
Danny Green * 31 5-7 3-4 2-2 2 3 3 0 15 - -
Avery Bradley * 26 5-10 3-4 2-2 1 4 0 0 15 - -
JaVale McGee * 16 2-6 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 4 - -
Alex Caruso 26 4-7 2-3 2-2 0 4 1 0 12 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 24 2-6 0-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Kyle Kuzma 19 2-8 0-4 0-1 6 1 1 0 4 - -
Rajon Rondo 14 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Dwight Howard 4 2-2 0-0 1-3 1 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter