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2020-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 52.6% 47.4% -
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% -
Margin 31.6% 68.4% +4.3 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -
Efficiency 17.5% 82.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.4% 77.6% -
Log Adjusted 22.4% 77.6% -
Points Off/Def 26.7% 73.3% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +11 (112-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 41 5-6 0-0 1-4 14 9 2 1 11 - -
Tobias Harris * 37 10-23 5-6 0-0 7 4 1 0 25 - -
Al Horford * 33 5-17 5-12 0-0 6 1 1 0 15 - -
Joel Embiid * 32 6-26 3-10 4-7 11 6 0 1 19 - -
Shake Milton * 23 3-6 1-2 1-1 4 3 1 0 8 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 28 4-12 2-8 2-2 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Matisse Thybulle 24 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 2 2 5 - -
Mike Scott 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Marial Shayok 7 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Raul Neto 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Zhaire Smith 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 35 8-17 3-8 1-1 7 3 0 0 20 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 34 13-25 1-7 9-12 20 6 1 0 36 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 32 6-14 1-3 1-3 8 6 2 0 14 - -
Wesley Matthews * 31 3-5 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 8 - -
Brook Lopez * 25 2-6 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 3 4 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 23 3-6 2-3 0-0 7 0 0 1 8 - -
Robin Lopez 19 3-6 2-4 1-2 3 1 0 2 9 - -
Pat Connaughton 15 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 6 - -
Kyle Korver 14 2-7 1-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 5 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter