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2020-02-06

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 22.6% 77.4% -
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% -
Margin 36.5% 63.5% +3.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% -
Efficiency 57.2% 42.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% -
Log Adjusted 59.8% 40.2% -
Points Off/Def 52.2% 47.8% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -6 (119-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 32 3-5 3-5 0-0 3 10 3 1 9 - -
Zion Williamson * 25 9-11 0-0 3-5 4 1 2 1 21 - -
Jrue Holiday * 22 4-11 1-5 0-0 3 5 0 2 9 - -
Brandon Ingram * 21 5-10 2-5 3-3 3 5 2 0 15 - -
Derrick Favors * 19 4-5 0-0 0-0 15 1 0 1 8 - -
Josh Hart 26 4-7 3-6 1-2 7 6 2 0 12 - -
JJ Redick 22 7-14 3-8 1-1 1 5 0 0 18 - -
Nicolo Melli 22 5-8 2-4 0-2 3 3 2 0 12 - -
E'Twaun Moore 19 3-8 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 8 - -
Jaxson Hayes 11 3-4 0-0 3-6 5 1 1 1 9 - -
Jahlil Okafor 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Frank Jackson 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chandler Hutchison * 31 6-14 0-2 4-8 8 1 2 0 16 - -
Thaddeus Young * 31 5-10 1-3 0-0 6 1 3 0 11 - -
Zach LaVine * 30 8-19 1-5 5-7 3 3 1 1 22 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 22 4-10 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 9 - -
Luke Kornet * 17 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Coby White 31 5-15 2-7 2-2 6 9 0 0 14 - -
Cristiano Felicio 28 1-4 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 0 5 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 24 5-6 3-4 0-0 4 4 2 0 13 - -
Shaquille Harrison 17 5-8 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 11 - -
Adam Mokoka 5 6-6 3-3 0-2 0 0 0 0 15 - -

* = starter