Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +2.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -14 (107-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 31 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 30 | 10-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 27 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 23 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 20 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 17 | 8-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 34 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 33 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 32 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 29 | 10-20 | 5-11 | 7-7 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 14 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Courtney Lee | 12 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ryan Broekhoff | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Antonius Cleveland | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanović | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter