Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +6 (109-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 34 | 9-18 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love * | 33 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| John Henson * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman * | 23 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 31 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 30 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Danté Exum | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 39 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 30 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schröder | 33 | 10-17 | 2-5 | 8-11 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 17 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Terrance Ferguson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter