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2020-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 36.2% 63.8% -
Bradley-Terry 60.8% 39.2% -
Margin 65.6% 34.4% -3.6 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% -
Efficiency 56.5% 43.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.2% 41.8% -
Log Adjusted 58.2% 41.8% -
Points Off/Def 50.2% 49.8% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +8 (116-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 41 11-19 5-9 3-3 5 2 0 0 30 - -
Mikal Bridges * 41 5-9 3-6 0-0 6 4 0 1 13 - -
Deandre Ayton * 41 12-18 0-0 2-4 12 4 0 4 26 - -
Devin Booker * 41 8-16 2-6 4-5 4 7 0 0 22 - -
Ricky Rubio * 35 1-5 0-1 2-2 1 11 4 0 4 - -
Elie Okobo 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Cheick Diallo 13 3-5 0-0 1-1 7 0 0 0 7 - -
Jevon Carter 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andre Drummond * 38 14-19 0-0 3-5 19 4 3 0 31 - -
Reggie Jackson * 34 10-24 5-9 0-0 5 9 1 0 25 - -
Tony Snell * 34 3-10 1-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 7 - -
Bruce Brown * 33 3-8 0-2 3-4 1 7 1 1 9 - -
Sekou Doumbouya * 15 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Christian Wood 32 7-14 1-3 6-7 8 1 1 0 21 - -
Langston Galloway 29 6-10 3-6 0-0 1 3 1 1 15 - -
Thon Maker 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Bone 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Louis King 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter