Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✓ (23.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +27 (129-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 32 | 12-21 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes * | 25 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 24 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 18 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 16 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Marco Belinelli | 15 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 15 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 34 | 12-20 | 6-9 | 6-9 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 29 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Avery Bradley * | 20 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Danny Green * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma | 30 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 26 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Rajon Rondo | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dwight Howard | 21 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Troy Daniels | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Quinn Cook | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jared Dudley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter