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2020-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 56.4% 43.6% -
Bradley-Terry 63.2% 36.8% -
Margin 68.4% 31.6% -4.2 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 57.8% 42.2% -
Efficiency 83.4% 16.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.0% 23.0% -
Log Adjusted 77.0% 23.0% -
Points Off/Def 66.0% 34.0% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -12 (108-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brook Lopez * 34 6-10 0-4 0-0 5 2 2 2 12 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 33 12-17 1-1 9-13 17 6 1 1 34 - -
Khris Middleton * 33 9-18 2-5 0-0 8 8 3 0 20 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 32 7-20 0-3 2-2 6 7 1 0 16 - -
Wesley Matthews * 28 6-11 5-9 0-0 2 2 0 1 17 - -
Pat Connaughton 27 2-3 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 1 4 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 18 3-10 0-3 2-2 5 5 2 0 8 - -
Kyle Korver 16 3-8 3-7 0-0 0 1 1 1 9 - -
Robin Lopez 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Ersan Ilyasova 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Sterling Brown 3 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 38 4-12 3-10 0-0 14 3 0 1 11 - -
Brandon Ingram * 35 12-19 3-9 5-6 7 1 2 1 32 - -
Zion Williamson * 31 5-19 0-3 10-14 7 5 1 0 20 - -
Jrue Holiday * 28 3-14 1-6 0-0 3 5 2 1 7 - -
Derrick Favors * 24 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 - -
Josh Hart 29 3-9 1-6 1-1 7 4 3 1 8 - -
JJ Redick 21 5-10 2-5 1-2 1 2 1 0 13 - -
Nicolo Melli 16 3-6 3-5 0-0 3 2 1 1 9 - -
E'Twaun Moore 8 3-7 1-4 1-1 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Jaxson Hayes 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

* = starter