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2020-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 78.3% 21.7% -
Bradley-Terry 31.1% 68.9% -
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% -
Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.3% 63.7% -
Log Adjusted 36.3% 63.7% -
Points Off/Def 37.1% 62.9% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +14 (96-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bruce Brown * 38 4-12 0-2 4-4 7 4 1 0 12 - -
Andre Drummond * 35 12-22 0-0 1-3 18 4 0 0 25 - -
Tony Snell * 29 1-7 0-4 0-0 0 4 1 0 2 - -
Sekou Doumbouya * 26 2-15 2-5 0-0 7 1 2 0 6 - -
Reggie Jackson * 24 1-16 1-6 0-0 7 4 0 0 3 - -
Langston Galloway 36 7-12 3-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 17 - -
Christian Wood 34 7-11 2-3 1-2 5 1 2 2 17 - -
Thon Maker 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonas Valančiūnas * 30 13-19 0-2 0-1 17 2 0 4 26 - -
Dillon Brooks * 30 7-15 1-3 0-0 4 5 0 1 15 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 29 3-10 0-2 8-9 5 2 1 3 14 - -
Ja Morant * 27 5-9 0-1 2-2 4 7 0 0 12 - -
Jae Crowder * 24 2-5 0-3 0-0 5 3 0 0 4 - -
Brandon Clarke 22 2-7 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 1 4 - -
Tyus Jones 20 6-11 1-3 0-0 2 5 1 0 13 - -
Kyle Anderson 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 2 - -
De'Anthony Melton 14 1-6 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -
Solomon Hill 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Josh Jackson 11 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 4 - -

* = starter