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2020-02-03

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 28.5% 71.5% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 44.0% 56.0% - βœ—
Margin 43.9% 56.1% +1.3 βœ— (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% - βœ—
Efficiency 54.1% 45.9% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 51.4% 48.6% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 51.4% 48.6% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% - βœ—

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -5 (134-139). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 38 9-16 0-2 2-2 8 3 2 0 20 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 36 8-15 2-4 8-8 2 1 0 0 26 - -
Elfrid Payton * 32 8-17 0-1 1-3 11 15 1 0 17 - -
Reggie Bullock Jr. * 24 3-6 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Taj Gibson * 13 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 8 - -
Bobby Portis 28 5-8 2-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 12 - -
Frank Ntilikina 22 4-7 1-3 0-0 7 2 0 0 9 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 20 6-11 1-1 2-6 3 6 4 0 15 - -
Kevin Knox II 17 5-8 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 12 - -
Damyean Dotson 15 3-6 1-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 9 - -
Mitchell Robinson 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Larry Nance Jr. * 42 8-13 2-5 0-0 8 6 0 1 18 - -
Kevin Love * 41 12-20 4-9 5-5 13 6 0 1 33 - -
Darius Garland * 39 5-10 4-7 0-0 1 5 1 1 14 - -
Collin Sexton * 39 11-22 3-5 4-4 2 7 1 0 29 - -
Cedi Osman * 38 6-10 3-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 15 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 24 4-8 2-2 2-6 0 3 2 0 12 - -
John Henson 18 4-4 0-0 1-1 3 3 1 0 9 - -
DantΓ© Exum 15 2-4 0-0 0-2 3 2 1 0 4 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter