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2020-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 55.7% 44.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% - โœ—
Margin 44.9% 55.1% +1.1 โœ— (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 56.0% 44.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 69.3% 30.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 65.5% 34.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 65.5% 34.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.1% 43.9% - โœ“

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -12 (100-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 37 6-12 2-5 2-6 12 5 2 0 16 - -
Nikola Vuฤeviฤ‡ * 36 10-19 1-5 1-2 7 5 0 0 22 - -
Markelle Fultz * 34 4-6 1-2 3-4 1 14 2 0 12 - -
Evan Fournier * 30 7-14 3-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 17 - -
Wes Iwundu * 22 3-8 1-4 2-2 2 2 1 0 9 - -
Terrence Ross 30 4-8 4-7 1-2 5 2 1 0 13 - -
Michael Carter-Williams 21 3-4 1-1 1-1 0 5 1 0 8 - -
Mo Bamba 11 5-6 2-2 0-0 7 1 0 2 12 - -
Gary Clark 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 - -
BJ Johnson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devonte' Graham * 36 6-13 3-9 0-0 2 5 1 0 15 - -
Terry Rozier * 35 7-14 2-8 2-3 3 2 0 0 18 - -
Miles Bridges * 34 5-15 2-7 4-4 8 2 1 1 16 - -
Cody Zeller * 26 8-13 0-0 1-2 7 2 1 0 17 - -
Dwayne Bacon * 17 0-4 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 - -
Cody Martin 28 6-6 1-1 0-1 8 3 3 0 13 - -
Malik Monk 22 4-12 1-3 2-2 5 4 1 0 11 - -
Willy Hernangomez 21 4-10 0-1 0-2 6 2 0 0 8 - -
Marvin Williams 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 - -

* = starter