Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.8 | ✓ (18.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +21 (129-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 36 | 5-20 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 33 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 12-13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 29 | 10-27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Elie Okobo * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 27 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Cheick Diallo | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Lecque | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tyler Johnson | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tariq Owens | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jared Harper | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brook Lopez * | 32 | 7-16 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 32 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 31 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 30 | 10-21 | 1-5 | 9-16 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 22 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 19 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kyle Korver | 18 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ersan Ilyasova | 14 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter