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New Orleans Pelicans 109
@
Houston Rockets 117
2020-02-02

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 21.8% 78.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% - ✓
Margin 36.1% 63.9% +3.1 ✓ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% - ✓
Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 36.6% 63.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 35.9% 64.1% - ✓

Actual: Houston Rockets +8 (117-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 38 10-23 5-11 3-3 12 3 0 0 28 - -
Lonzo Ball * 37 3-7 2-6 2-2 11 9 3 2 10 - -
Jrue Holiday * 33 5-14 0-5 1-3 3 6 0 1 11 - -
Zion Williamson * 32 8-14 0-0 5-7 10 1 1 1 21 - -
Derrick Favors * 23 4-7 0-0 1-1 11 1 0 0 9 - -
Josh Hart 29 5-11 3-5 3-4 10 1 1 0 16 - -
JJ Redick 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
E'Twaun Moore 14 5-8 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 10 - -
Nicolo Melli 12 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 - -
Jaxson Hayes 3 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 38 12-24 7-15 9-9 10 9 0 2 40 - -
P.J. Tucker * 38 0-5 0-2 0-0 9 0 1 0 0 - -
Russell Westbrook * 36 9-24 1-4 3-3 6 7 1 0 22 - -
Eric Gordon * 33 4-12 1-7 0-0 1 2 4 0 9 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 28 5-14 2-8 0-0 12 1 1 0 12 - -
Ben McLemore 23 6-12 4-9 6-8 0 0 2 0 22 - -
Austin Rivers 23 4-12 0-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 8 - -
Thabo Sefolosha 18 1-2 1-2 1-2 3 1 3 1 4 - -

* = starter