Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.1% | 32.9% | -3.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +5 (128-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 45 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 39 | 16-23 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 39 | - | - | |
| Monté Morris * | 39 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 36 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris | 31 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 24 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 13 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Snell * | 36 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 6-8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Sekou Doumbouya * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Andre Drummond * | 30 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 37 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 34 | 8-18 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 19 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 16 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Thon Maker | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter