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2020-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 48.8% 51.2% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 54.6% 45.4% - βœ“
Margin 56.5% 43.5% -1.4 βœ“ (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 56.6% 43.4% - βœ“
Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 71.9% 28.1% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 71.9% 28.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 61.6% 38.4% - βœ“

Actual: Sacramento Kings -16 (113-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 33 6-15 1-4 2-3 10 11 2 0 15 - -
Anthony Davis * 29 5-9 1-2 10-10 4 6 2 1 21 - -
Danny Green * 21 3-8 3-8 0-0 4 3 2 1 9 - -
Avery Bradley * 20 7-13 5-9 0-0 2 0 0 0 19 - -
JaVale McGee * 15 2-2 0-0 3-4 8 1 0 0 7 - -
Rajon Rondo 26 6-11 1-5 0-0 3 8 2 0 13 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 25 4-7 3-6 4-5 2 2 0 0 15 - -
Kyle Kuzma 20 4-10 1-2 3-4 2 1 0 1 12 - -
Dwight Howard 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 2 0 - -
Alex Caruso 16 5-6 3-4 0-1 1 1 2 0 13 - -
Troy Daniels 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jared Dudley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Quinn Cook 3 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 32 7-17 0-2 10-13 6 5 0 1 24 - -
Nemanja Bjelica * 30 3-8 3-8 0-0 3 3 0 1 9 - -
Harrison Barnes * 29 1-8 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 - -
Bogdan Bogdanović * 27 3-8 1-6 1-1 2 1 1 0 8 - -
Harry Giles III * 16 7-8 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 0 16 - -
Buddy Hield 29 8-16 6-13 0-0 4 2 1 1 22 - -
Cory Joseph 23 3-9 3-6 0-0 6 5 0 0 9 - -
Eric Mika 19 2-3 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 6 - -
Kent Bazemore 13 3-7 0-3 4-5 1 1 1 0 10 - -
Anthony Tolliver 10 1-2 1-2 1-2 0 0 2 0 4 - -
Yogi Ferrell 7 1-5 0-2 1-1 1 3 0 0 3 - -
Justin James 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter