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2020-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 30.2% 69.8% - ✓
Margin 29.9% 70.1% +4.7 ✓ (19.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% - ✓
Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 30.7% 69.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 30.7% 69.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% - ✓

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +24 (114-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devonte' Graham * 37 3-11 2-8 0-0 1 9 2 0 8 - -
Miles Bridges * 36 10-19 4-9 1-2 6 2 0 2 25 - -
Terry Rozier * 34 3-12 2-7 2-2 5 3 0 0 10 - -
Cody Zeller * 29 7-10 0-0 0-0 12 8 2 1 14 - -
Marvin Williams * 23 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 2 4 - -
Malik Monk 31 4-12 1-3 2-2 4 2 0 2 11 - -
Cody Martin 27 3-7 1-5 1-2 3 2 0 0 8 - -
Willy Hernangomez 18 3-7 0-2 4-4 2 2 1 0 10 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 32 10-15 0-0 4-5 2 6 2 0 24 - -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 27 4-10 0-1 0-1 7 2 0 1 8 - -
Trey Lyles * 27 4-6 2-3 1-2 5 0 1 0 11 - -
Dejounte Murray * 27 4-8 1-2 0-0 10 2 4 0 9 - -
Bryn Forbes * 16 2-8 2-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Derrick White 26 4-8 1-4 3-4 5 1 0 0 12 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 19 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 4 1 0 6 - -
Jakob Poeltl 18 7-8 0-0 3-5 7 1 2 1 17 - -
Patty Mills 18 4-11 3-9 0-0 1 4 3 0 11 - -
Marco Belinelli 15 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 3 0 0 1 - -
Rudy Gay 6 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Chimezie Metu 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Keldon Johnson 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter