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2020-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 44.4% 55.6% -
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% -
Margin 27.2% 72.8% +5.4 (17.6 off)
Pythagorean 28.6% 71.4% -
Efficiency 5.2% 94.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.2% 89.8% -
Log Adjusted 10.2% 89.8% -
Points Off/Def 17.4% 82.6% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +23 (123-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Huerter * 40 7-12 6-10 0-0 1 3 1 0 20 - -
John Collins * 33 11-20 1-2 3-5 11 0 0 0 26 - -
Damian Jones * 30 3-6 0-0 2-2 12 1 2 1 8 - -
Trae Young * 26 4-13 1-6 3-4 6 1 0 0 12 - -
Cam Reddish * 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 2 0 - -
Jeff Teague 30 2-10 0-4 2-4 4 8 1 0 6 - -
Vince Carter 24 4-12 0-4 2-2 5 0 0 1 10 - -
Brandon Goodwin 24 4-11 1-2 2-2 7 5 0 0 11 - -
Treveon Graham 20 1-2 1-2 2-2 4 0 2 0 5 - -
Charlie Brown Jr. 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maxi Kleber * 30 6-9 4-7 2-2 6 1 1 4 18 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 28 7-13 4-7 4-4 7 4 2 1 22 - -
Jalen Brunson * 27 12-22 2-4 1-1 4 8 0 0 27 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 26 3-12 1-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 7 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 25 3-8 0-0 1-2 10 1 1 2 7 - -
Delon Wright 29 2-6 1-2 4-4 5 7 1 0 9 - -
Justin Jackson 26 4-8 1-2 1-1 8 1 0 0 10 - -
Ryan Broekhoff 22 2-5 2-5 2-2 6 1 0 1 8 - -
Seth Curry 20 5-10 5-7 0-0 6 2 0 0 15 - -
Antonius Cleveland 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter