Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +23 (123-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Huerter * | 40 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 33 | 11-20 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 26 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish * | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jeff Teague | 30 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Vince Carter | 24 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brandon Goodwin | 24 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Treveon Graham | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Charlie Brown Jr. | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxi Kleber * | 30 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 28 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 27 | 12-22 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 26 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 29 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 26 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ryan Broekhoff | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 20 | 5-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Antonius Cleveland | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter