Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -4 (107-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Paul * | 34 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 5-16 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 32 | 9-17 | 1-6 | 8-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schröder | 29 | 8-19 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 25 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deandre Ayton * | 39 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 39 | 9-18 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 39 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 7-9 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 34 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ricky Rubio * | 29 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 18 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tyler Johnson | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cheick Diallo | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dario Šarić | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter