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2020-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 47.1% 52.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 55.9% 44.1% - ✗
Margin 61.2% 38.8% -2.5 ✗ (30.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - ✓
Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 40.4% 59.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 40.5% 59.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 38.5% 61.5% - ✓

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +28 (139-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jae Crowder * 27 4-11 0-4 7-8 5 1 2 0 15 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 26 8-13 1-3 1-1 8 0 1 4 18 - -
Dillon Brooks * 26 3-14 1-5 3-3 3 2 1 2 10 - -
Ja Morant * 26 7-12 1-3 1-2 1 3 0 0 16 - -
Solomon Hill * 25 2-5 1-4 1-2 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Josh Jackson 28 6-14 1-5 0-1 5 1 1 0 13 - -
Kyle Anderson 23 6-9 1-2 1-5 6 3 1 2 14 - -
Tyus Jones 21 5-9 0-2 0-0 1 3 3 0 10 - -
De'Anthony Melton 17 3-7 0-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 7 - -
John Konchar 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Yuta Watanabe 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 33 7-10 5-7 0-0 6 8 1 0 19 - -
Zion Williamson * 28 9-15 0-0 6-8 6 3 0 0 24 - -
Jrue Holiday * 25 7-15 2-5 2-3 4 6 3 2 18 - -
Brandon Ingram * 24 6-13 1-5 7-7 7 4 1 0 20 - -
Derrick Favors * 19 3-3 0-0 1-2 10 1 1 0 7 - -
Josh Hart 27 4-7 2-4 1-1 11 0 0 1 11 - -
E'Twaun Moore 18 5-13 0-4 0-0 1 3 0 1 10 - -
JJ Redick 17 4-8 3-5 5-5 2 1 1 0 16 - -
Nicolo Melli 17 4-5 2-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 10 - -
Jaxson Hayes 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Frank Jackson 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 5 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -

* = starter