Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | β |
| Margin | 57.2% | 42.8% | -1.6 | β (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | β |
Actual: Houston Rockets +7 (128-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristaps PorziΕΔ£is * | 35 | 12-20 | 1-4 | 10-13 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 34 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 31 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ryan Broekhoff * | 20 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| J.J. Barea * | 20 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 25 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Seth Curry | 24 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 39 | 13-28 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. * | 38 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 37 | 10-25 | 6-14 | 9-10 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 36 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 30 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 27 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 15 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Thabo Sefolosha | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter