Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | -1.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -13 (92-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 35 | 12-18 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 35 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka * | 28 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell | 28 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Patrick McCaw | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 17 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Paul Watson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Drummond * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-12 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 31 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick Rose * | 29 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk * | 26 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Thon Maker * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 30 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Langston Galloway | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 18 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter