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2020-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 46.0% 54.0% -
Bradley-Terry 49.6% 50.4% -
Margin 53.2% 46.8% -0.7 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 63.6% 36.4% -
Efficiency 82.3% 17.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.0% 22.0% -
Log Adjusted 78.0% 22.0% -
Points Off/Def 67.3% 32.7% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +10 (127-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 42 10-15 0-0 11-13 6 5 4 0 31 - -
Tobias Harris * 35 6-15 0-4 9-10 9 4 0 0 21 - -
Shake Milton * 35 7-12 5-9 8-10 5 6 1 0 27 - -
Joel Embiid * 34 8-14 3-6 2-7 14 3 0 1 21 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 17 1-2 0-1 1-3 2 0 2 0 3 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 21 0-7 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Raul Neto 20 0-6 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Mike Scott 19 5-9 1-5 0-0 4 0 0 1 11 - -
Zhaire Smith 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 - -
James Ennis III 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 38 9-22 3-9 18-20 6 18 2 0 39 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 36 6-12 2-5 1-2 2 4 0 0 15 - -
John Collins * 33 8-13 0-3 1-1 20 0 0 0 17 - -
Kevin Huerter * 32 5-8 2-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 12 - -
Damian Jones * 26 6-8 0-0 2-4 7 1 1 2 14 - -
Cam Reddish 29 4-10 2-5 2-2 2 2 0 0 12 - -
Vince Carter 23 4-8 2-6 4-4 6 0 1 2 14 - -
Jeff Teague 13 0-4 0-1 4-4 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Treveon Graham 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter