Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | ✓ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -20 (100-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 38 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 29 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 26 | 8-12 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 26 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schröder | 30 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Nerlens Noel | 20 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 17 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Abdel Nader | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Deonte Burton | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogdan Bogdanović * | 27 | 10-19 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 27 | 9-15 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 23 | 5-12 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Anthony Tolliver | 22 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kent Bazemore | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Yogi Ferrell | 5 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Justin James | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter